Wednesday, August 24, 2016

Why standard valuation matrix is not the best way to value great businesses

Hi

Every year we strive to share our thought process on the challenges being faced by us in value investing. We started our moat investing journey with the ppt "Role of Management in Long term investing" to highlight that when Buffett says that business quality is more important than management he is referring to the competence of the management, however we wanted to highlight that in India a lot of managements are unethical and an investor needs to be discerning enough to differentiate the good from the bad. Else money will be made only by the management and not the minority 

Then we discussed on our 4C's of Investing Process (Cloning, Checklist, Capital Allocation & Checkout) on how we shortlist ideas, bet money and exit them.

Now we discuss that since stocks are no longer trading at attractive multiples, the standard valuation matrix of PE multiples would not help us hold on or buy great businesses. So the post attempts to discuss a framework to value great businesses. 

The topic of the ppt is "why standard valuation matrix is not the best way to value great businesses", the ppt was presented at various forums like IIF and FLAME Investment Lab - Alumni Meet in Pune recently. Foundation for Liberal And Management Education (FLAME)

We also won the best speaker prize at FLAME 2015 alumni meet for the above presentation and we were gifted a great book - "Anatomy of the Bear: Lessons from Wall Street's Four Great Bottoms". One can read about Flame Investment Lab here.

We look forward to your comments and suggestions on how we can further improve this process...



To download the Presentation- Please visit this link  
Acknowledgement
The author (Mr. Ashish Kila) would like to thank his entire team, for their extensive help in preparation of the above note.
Disclaimer
  • We are not SEBI registered Investment Advisor
  • Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice. The stocks mentioned in the post are for educational purpose only and are not recommendations, the purpose of this post is to highlight a framework which an investor can apply to any company.
  • This is not an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy/sell the securities/instruments mentioned.
  • All the posts on this blog, including this one, are for educational and discussion purposes only.
  • Please do not take buy/sell or any investment decision based on articles you read on the blog. These are only meant to provide information and initiate discussion. Final decision is and always should be, yours and only yours.
  • We may or may not have a position in the stocks discussed on this blog

Sunday, January 10, 2016

"Identifying Businesses exhibiting the Capacity to Suffer"




Our Second Article on CNBC TV18 Website Moneycontrol.com - "Identifying Businesses exhibiting the Capacity to Suffer" - https://t.co/TSICh8FXp7 

Over the last few years we have realised that investors fail to appreciate great businesses and managements which display the capacity to suffer.

Capacity to suffer is the management's ability to endure through early burdens on reported profits in short run in order to advance their long term competitive advantage.

“Capacity to Suffer” is a key ingredient for long term wealth creation and one must not make the mistake of punishing companies in the short run for choosing pain to develop long term competitive advantage.

We wrote briefly about it earlier on https://twitter.com/ashishkila/status/614794354381565952

The current article is an attempt to briefly summarise a few key points from our presentations on the aforesaid topic this year...(Thanks - Nikhil /moneycontrol.com /(‪#‎PerfectResearch‬ )

Disclaimer: 
Acknowledgement
The author (Mr. Ashish Kila) would like to thank his entire team, for their extensive help in preparation of the above note.
 
Disclaimer
  • Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice. The stocks mentioned in the post are for educational purpose only and are not recommendations, the purpose of this post is to show capacity to suffer as a framework which an investor can apply to any company.
  • This is not an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy/sell the securities/instruments mentioned.
  • All the posts on this blog, including this one, are for educational and discussion purposes only.
  • Please do not take buy/sell or any investment decision based on articles you read on the blog. These are only meant to provide information and initiate discussion. Final decision is and always should be, yours and only yours.
  • We may or may not have a position in the stocks discussed on this blog


Sunday, November 16, 2014

Video of our presentation on 4C's of Investing Process (Cloning, Checklist, Capital Allocation & Checkout)

Hi

Please find below video of our presentation of 4C's of Investing Process (Cloning, Checklist, Capital Allocation & Checkout) made at FLAME Investment Lab - Alumni Meet in Pune recently. Foundation for Liberal And Management Education (FLAME)

We had the opportunity to present the ppt at IIF & OctoberQuest Forums as well. Will share updated presentation as well after incorporating the feedback received from the various forums in the coming future.

Look forward to your suggestions on how to improve the investing process...




Link for the video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=itUvYTZhH5k

Facebook Links: -
https://www.facebook.com/ashishkila/posts/10154825973115007
https://www.facebook.com/ashishkila/posts/10154391861055007

Blog Link for PPT:-
http://perfectresearch.blogspot.in/2014/07/4cs-of-investment-process-cloning.html


Acknowledgement
The author (Mr. Ashish Kila) would like to thank his entire team, for their extensive help in preparation of the above note and video.
 
Disclaimer
  • Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
  • This is not an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy/sell the securities/instruments mentioned.
  • All the posts on this blog, including this one, are for educational and discussion purposes only.
  • Please do not take buy/sell or any investment decision based on articles you read on the blog. These are only meant to provide information and initiate discussion. Final decision is and always should be, yours and only yours.
  • We may or may not have a position in the stocks discussed on this blog

Tuesday, July 22, 2014

4C's of Investment Process - Cloning, Checklist, Capital Allocation & Checkout (When to sell)

Hi

Over the last year we have been mulling over these topics especially Capital Allocation and When to Sell. The presentation is an attempt by us to collate the thoughts from the Gurus, Mentors and Friends we follow and then discuss our inference of the same.

The presentation was made at FLAME Investment Lab - Alumni Meet in Pune recently.
One can read about Flame Investment Lab here.

We look forward to your comments and suggestions on how we can further improve this process...



4 C's of Investment Process - Cloning, Checklist, Capital Allocation, Checkout from perfectresearch

To download the Presentation- Please visit this link

Acknowledgement
The author (Mr. Ashish Kila) would like to thank his entire team, for their extensive help in preparation of the above note.
Disclaimer
  • Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
  • This is not an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy/sell the securities/instruments mentioned.
  • All the posts on this blog, including this one, are for educational and discussion purposes only.
  • Please do not take buy/sell or any investment decision based on articles you read on the blog. These are only meant to provide information and initiate discussion. Final decision is and always should be, yours and only yours.
  • We may or may not have a position in the stocks discussed on this blog. 


Monday, October 14, 2013

Open Offers

Hi,

As discussed last year in the ppt on delisting, given the dwindling opportunities in Delisting space and the worsening risk-reward ratio we have been in search of other special situation opportunities.

The ppt below is an attempt to discuss another special situation opportunity "Open Offers" in detail.

We would like to emphasise that certain portfolio allocation to such special situations gives you absolute returns in a bear market as well. Also one can also shift such positions at minimal loss into long term opportunities if meanwhile market corrections present a more lucrative long term bet.

The following ppt on open offer was made this year at the ISG forum meet in Delhi, CFA Delhi Chapter meet in Delhi and then the IIF forum meet in Mumbai. We have tried to further revise the ppt as per the feedback received.

Look forward to your valuable comments and suggestions :)




Open Offers from perfectresearch


Acknowledgement
The author (Mr. Ashish Kila) would like to thank his entire team, for their extensive help in preparation of the above note.
Disclaimer
  • Nothing in this article is, or should be construed as, investment advice.
  • This is not an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy/sell the securities/instruments mentioned.
  • All the posts on this blog, including this one, are for educational and discussion purposes only.
  • Please do not take buy/sell or any investment decision based on articles you read on the blog. These are only meant to provide information and initiate discussion. Final decision is and always should be, yours and only yours.
  • We may or may not have a position in the stocks discussed on this blog.